Philadelphia Union v Montreal Impact: Battle of the Bottom Two

Notice! Actual odds are subject to change and are correct as displayed only at the time of publishing: 3:39 PM 20.04.2017.
Philadelphia Union v Montreal Impact: Battle of the Bottom Two

Talen Energy Stadium

It’s not exactly been a positive start to the 2017 MLS campaign for either of these teams and with six games gone of the new season, Philadelphia and Montreal currently occupy the bottom two places. Union are right at the very bottom of the ladder in the Eastern Conference with Impact four points ahead of them so it should be a tight contest in the Talen Energy Stadium on Saturday.

The market isn’t, however, as close as you might think in the lead up to kick off so there could well be some value around over the course of 90 minutes.

Match Odds

Home advantage seems to be helping The U as far as the odds setters are concerned as they have Philadelphia out in front at a best price of 19/20 with 10Bet for the win. Anyone looking to back Montreal can currently expect best odds of 3/1 with Bet365 while the tie completes things for Saturday at 12/5 with Bet365 and Betway.

One look at the form table doesn’t make for pleasant reading on either side but it’s particularly grim for Union who have lost their last four games in succession. Contrast that with Montreal who, while not being impressive themselves over that same period, have three draws and two defeats but Mauro Biello’s team did win last time out with a narrow, 2-1 home victory over Atlanta United DC.

There’s definite value in a Montreal win at that 3/1 price but while we consider our decision, let’s take a look at the players who can make a difference on either side.

Individual Goal Scorers

Union’s new signing from English club Leyton Orient is the favourite to open the scoring and Jay Simpson will go off here at 9/2 with Bet365. The 28 year old had a healthy strike rate in the UK and is off the mark with one goal in his first four matches in Major League Soccer.

Second on the list is CJ Sapong who is available at a best price of 5/1 with Bet365 and Betway to find the net first. Sapong is the established striker with Union and with 16 goals in 58 matches for his current club, he may be seen as the better bet in this market.

Union continue to dominate this market with Charlie Davies also on offer at 5/1 with Bet365 and Betway while Chris Pontius is further back at odds of 6/1 with Bet365 once again. Meanwhile, Impact finally get a look in with their Argentine Ignacio Piatii who is listed here at 7/1 with Bet365 and Betway.

While not a traditional striker, Piatii has a healthy scoring record since arriving in Montreal in 2014 but while he is a good option, we would be more interested in odds of 11/4 with Betway in the anytime goal market.

Other Side Bets

We’ve already discussed how it’s not been a vintage campaign for either of these two sides and when you’re down at the bottom of the division, it’s usually due to a lack of firepower up front. Montreal and Philly have managed just twelve goals between them in twelve combined matches so far and that stat could give us some useful pointers for our final tip. You could look to be safe here by backing under the 3.5 goal line but this would only bring you odds of 4/9 with Stan James so we’ll be betting with under 2.5 which would be more rewarding at 21/20 with Bet365.

That previous poor form is quite evenly matched so a bet in the winning margin market would see Montreal by one goal at 9/2 with Bet365 or Union by one at 28/11 with 10Bet.

Overall, it’s a tough one to call: Clearly the Impact are struggling to cover for departed striker Didier Drogba – a world class player who scored 21 goals in 33 league matches last season. That’s a big hole to cover for and it will take time but there is value in Montreal at 3/1 and that victory last week over Atlanta suggests they are quite capable of making it two wins in a row.

Best Bets

  • Montreal Impact to win at 3/1 with Bet365
  • CJ Sapong to score the first goal at 5/1 with Bet365
  • Under 2.5 Goals at 21/20 with Bet365