Ultimately, there were no surprises in the Conference Finals as both favourites eased through to the season-ending Super Bowl. The Chiefs and the 49ers may not have been the finalists that we all expected at the start of the 100th NFL season but they’re both here on merit and it should be a thriller.
Sunday, February 2nd is the date and the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida is our destination so let’s get straight on and see what the sportsbooks make of it all.
— NFL (@NFL) January 20, 2020
Moneyline Result Betting
In the early result markets, the betting is relatively tight and the odds setters are having trouble separating these teams. Like most operators, PowerPlay put Kansas City down as the favourites and you can pick up the Chiefs at 1.80. That figure makes San Francisco the marginal outsiders with bet365 listing the 49ers at 2.05.
During the regular season, the 49ers enjoyed a marginally better record at 13-3 as they topped the NFC West. The Chiefs, meanwhile, returned 12-4 as they headed the AFC West.
In the postseason, there has been little to split them with both returning impressive results as they progressed to Super Bowl LIV. The standout display was the Chiefs’ 51-35 victory over Houston and they do have the greater quality in the roster but this could be as close as those moneyline odds suggest.
We’ll round up some prop bets as we draw closer to the game itself but for now, we’re just focusing on picking a winner. We’ve mentioned those regular and postseason stats but how can we delve a little deeper?
The format of NFL means that we don’t have too much to lean on in terms of head to head stats but if we go back through the records, we find that the 49ers and the Chiefs have played each other on 13 previous occasions. The most recent encounter came in September 2018 and once again, there is little to separate them with a narrow, 7-6 series record in favour of San Francisco.
In terms of Super Bowl victories, it’s a resounding 5-1 success for the 49ers. The last of these triumphs came back in 1994 so, while many will disregard this stat, it could have a psychological edge on the big day.
Coming back into 2020, there’s no doubt as to who the key player will be on the day. Chiefs’ Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has been delivering on his huge potential for the entire season and if that arm is in working order on February 2nd, it will be tough to see beyond Kansas City.
If they are to stand any chance of coming through as the outside bet, San Francisco simply must close down Mahomes early. The pressure is on the 49ers offence line with Nick Bosa and Arik Armstead among those looking to keep Mahomes from distributing early.
It’s not all about one player and the success of Kansas City’s QB has allowed the exploits of their key Tight End to go under the radar. Not only has Travis Kelce received 1229 yards this year, but he’s also returned five touchdowns so this is by no means a one-man team.
The 49ers’ roster has plenty of depth and danger with QB Jimmy Garappolo pulling the strings. They haven’t reached Super Bowl LIV by accident but, if the two sides play to their full capabilities, it simply has to be a win for the Kansas City Chiefs on February 2.
Kansas City Chiefs to win at 1.80 with PowerPlay.